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Journal / Systems

02Systems

On estimated numbers in case studies

Why some results in my work carry a “≈”, and the difference between a measured number and an estimated one.

Mohammed Al-BishariPublished 2026/08/121 min readPlaceholder

Preview: the essays here are placeholders until the real ones are published.

In many enterprise projects the designer has no access to analytics after launch. That leaves two choices: leave results blank, or estimate them honestly and say they are estimates.

I chose the second, provided it is clear to the reader. That is why a “≈” precedes every number that wasn't measured directly.

An honest number marked as an estimate beats a precise one you can't defend.

01Where an estimate comes from

From a before-and-after test on a small sample, from the steps that disappeared from a flow, or from the support team's notes. Not from intuition alone.

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